Why US soya bean farmers are upset with Trump’s $20bn Argentina bailout | Food News

Why US Soybean Farmers Are Furious Over Trump’s $20 Billion Bailout to Argentina | Food News


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Opponents of President Donald Trump have sharply criticized a substantial financial aid package extended to Argentina, especially as Argentine soybean farmers have been capturing market share from their American counterparts.

“The level of frustration is immense,” stated Caleb Ragland, president of the American Soybean Association, on September 24.

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Iowa Senator Chuck Grassley voiced the concerns succinctly in a post on X: “Why is the US bailing out Argentina while they are taking the largest market for American soybean farmers?”

When questioned on October 19 about the rationale behind aiding Argentina despite the backlash from US soybean producers, Trump responded, “Argentina is in a dire situation. Young lady, you don’t understand. They have no money, no resources.”

While the US assistance to Argentina did not directly damage American soybean farmers-who have been primarily affected by Trump’s trade conflict with China-the timing of the aid package alongside the soybean export challenges has created a public relations dilemma for the administration.

Simultaneously, Democrats have criticized the magnitude of the financial aid to Argentina, especially when compared to the looming expiration of subsidies that help make Affordable Care Act (ACA) marketplace plans affordable. Senators Amy Klobuchar of Minnesota and Adam Schiff of California have been vocal on this issue.

Below is an overview of the situation.

What is the Argentina financial aid package about?

The alliance between Argentina’s far-right President Javier Milei and Donald Trump is central to understanding this development.

Milei, inaugurated in December 2023, campaigned on drastically reducing government expenditures and promoting libertarian principles, which emphasize personal freedom and minimal government intervention.

Trump has referred to Milei as his “favorite president.” At the Conservative Political Action Conference in March, Milei symbolically presented a chainsaw-representing his commitment to deep budget cuts-to Elon Musk, a known Trump supporter.

Despite these promises, Milei has struggled with Argentina’s soaring inflation and a depreciating peso, which has made imports more expensive and worsened the economic conditions for many Argentinians, posing political risks ahead of critical legislative elections.

In response, the Trump administration proposed a $20 billion currency swap facility to help stabilize the peso. This arrangement, signed officially on October 20, allows the US and Argentina’s central banks to exchange debt under agreed terms.

US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent described the aid as support for a strategic partner in crisis. Should Milei lose the upcoming elections, his aggressive fiscal policies-dubbed “chainsaw economics”-which include severe cuts to social programs, may be reversed.

“This is a hopeful step forward,” Bessent told reporters on October 14. “With this bridge and strong policies, Argentina has the potential to thrive again.”

However, critics warn that the US might be purchasing Argentine bonds at inflated prices, risking financial losses.

Brad Setser, a senior fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations, noted, “Argentina’s road to economic recovery demands more than just a balanced budget. The country faces chronic foreign currency shortages, a narrow, commodity-dependent export base, significant external debt, and low foreign reserves.”

Is the US planning to increase its aid to Argentina?

On October 15, Senator Ruben Gallego highlighted on X that “Trump is considering doubling his bailout for Argentina, while healthcare premiums for Americans are set to soar.”

Although the aid has not yet been doubled, officials are exploring the possibility.

Bessent mentioned on October 15 that an additional $20 billion in support might be arranged, potentially sourced from private investors rather than taxpayer funds.

Meanwhile, certain Americans who benefit from enhanced ACA marketplace subsidies could face a doubling of their health insurance premiums if Congress and the administration fail to renew these subsidies before they expire at year-end.

According to the Kaiser Family Foundation, a healthcare research organization, without extension, enrollees might see out-of-pocket costs increase by an average of 114%.

How does US aid to Argentina affect soybean farmers?

China is traditionally the largest importer of US soybeans, especially from October through March. However, American farmers have long been concerned about competition from South American producers, a problem intensified by Trump’s tariff policies, explained Chad Hart, an agricultural economist at Iowa State University.

Following the imposition of tariffs on China earlier this year, China reduced its purchases of US soybeans, turning instead to Argentina and Brazil.

“The South American soybean harvest was strong this year and is projected to expand next year,” said Todd Hubbs, assistant professor of crop marketing at Oklahoma State University. Hart added that the crop sizes in Argentina and Brazil are sufficient to fulfill China’s short-term demand.

To counteract the peso’s weakness and attract foreign currency, Milei temporarily lifted export tariffs on many agricultural products. This move prompted China to purchase roughly 7 million tonnes of soybeans almost immediately, Hubbs noted.

Consequently, while US-China tensions over soybeans were already high, the timing of US aid to Argentina has been perceived by American soybean producers as rewarding a competitor that is capturing their market share.

Trump had pledged support to farmers affected by his tariff policies, but that assistance has been delayed due to the government shutdown.

How does US aid to Argentina compare with healthcare subsidies in the US?

Senator Brian Schatz highlighted the comparison between the Argentina aid package and the cost of extending enhanced ACA subsidies, a key Democratic priority stalled by the government shutdown.

“The Argentina bailout’s cost could cover ACA tax credits for an entire year,” Schatz tweeted on October 14.

Considering the initial $20 billion aid to Argentina (excluding any potential increase), Schatz’s estimate aligns closely with the Congressional Budget Office’s projection of $24.6 billion for ACA tax credits in fiscal year 2026.

It is important to note, however, that funds allocated for Argentina come from the Exchange Stabilization Fund, a Treasury pool designated for foreign exchange interventions, and cannot be redirected to healthcare subsidies.




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